About 45% of voters in the recall described themselves as Democrats, with about one-quarter calling themselves Republicans and roughly 3 in 10 describing themselves as independents. Democrats and Republicans broke overwhelmingly along party lines on the recall, while those independents who voted were about evenly split.
A 57% majority of voters approved of Newsom’s job performance. There was an intensity gap, with more strongly disapproving than strongly approving. Voters’ views on whether the Democratic governor is in touch with Californians like them closely mirrored his overall approval numbers.
About half of voters had a favorable view of the Democratic Party, while just about one-third had a favorable view of the Republican Party. Those with favorable views of only the Democrats were nearly unanimous in their opposition to the recall, with those favoring only the Republican Party similarly overwhelming in voting for Newsom’s ouster. Voters with negative views of both parties — about 13% of the electorate — broke largely in favor of the recall.
A 55% majority of recall election voters reported having voted for Joe Biden in 2020, slightly lower compared with Biden’s actual vote share in the state, which was just shy of 64%. Biden’s job approval among voters in the recall stands around 58%. Roughly 9 in 10 voters who approved of him also approved of Newsom; more than 90% of those who disapproved of Biden disliked
A majority of voters said they’d be either concerned or scared if Newsom were recalled, with fewer saying they’d be optimistic or excited.
Larry Elder, among the most prominent of the Republican candidates who ran to replace Newsom, got negative ratings, with about a third of voters viewing him favorably and about half viewing him unfavorably. More than 9 in 10 of those who viewed Elder favorably supported recalling Newsom.
The Covid-19 pandemic remained at the top of voters’ minds, with about one-third saying it’s the biggest issue for the state. That’s followed by just more than one-fifth saying homelessness, about 1 in 6 saying the economy and wildfires, respectively, and slightly under one-tenth saying crime. Concerns varied across partisan lines: More than 4 in 10 Democrats called coronavirus their top issue, while only about one-fifth of Republicans said the same. On the flip side, Republicans were more than three times as likely as Democrats to name the economy as their top concern.
Those who called the pandemic or wildfires the state’s top concern overwhelmingly opposed the recall, as did a smaller majority of those who said Voters had mixed outlooks on the pandemic’s course in Women made up slightly more than half the electorate in the Less than half of the electorate, about 47%, said Newsom’s policies on the pandemic have been about right, with 3 in 10 calling his policies too strict and the remainder saying they’re not strict enough. Roughly two-thirds of “yes” voters said Newsom’s policies were too strict; most “no” voters called Newsom’s Covid-19 restrictions about right, although roughly a quarter of recall opponents thought his policies should have been stricter.
There was broad support for Covid mitigation measures, with roughly 70% of voters favoring mask requirements in schools and more than 6 in 10 saying that getting vaccinated is more of a public health responsibility than it is a personal choice. Nearly all who oppose school mask mandates voted to recall Newsom.
Californians were close to evenly split on the state of California (Surfing), with around 6 in 10 saying that those costs are at least somewhat unmanageable.
About 80% of The California (Surfing) polling locations among 3,266 Election Day voters. The results also include 1,352 interviews with early and absentee voters conducted by phone, online or by text. Results for the full sample have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points; it is larger for subgroups.